Analysis
Model signals across Polymarket categories. Where the data disagrees with the market, you'll see it flagged.
TL;DR
We compare each market's implied probability to a model estimate (weather forecasts, sports power ratings, crypto vol surfaces). Markets where the gap is wide and the model is well-calibrated bubble up to the top of the analysis panel.
Market signals
The analysis panel compares model predictions against current market prices to flag potential mispricings. When a model's estimate and the market price diverge, you'll see a signal indicator on that market.
Categories covered
- ●Weather — Forecast model predictions vs current market prices
- ●Crypto — On-chain data, exchange flows, and volatility estimates
- ●Politics — Polling data and historical pattern matching
- ●Sports — Elo ratings, injury reports, and matchup history
- ●Geopolitics — News sentiment and event tracking
How to use
Open the Analysis panel from the top bar or click a signal badge on any market card. You'll see the model's predicted probability next to the current market price, so you can quickly see where they disagree.
Disclaimer
These signals are informational, not financial advice. Models can and will be wrong sometimes. Always do your own research before trading.